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Bayern MünchenvsStuttgart
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Bayern MünchenvsStuttgart
CORRECT SCORE

1-0 to Bayern is the modal outcome

BM
BAYERN MÜNCH
1–0
STU
STUTTGART
100% · most likely outcome

Bookie's headline pick — peak of the model's distribution. Correct score is hard; treat the pin small.

Bayern 1-0
BTTS

Both teams to score · 2.07

0%
Bayern Münch BTTS
59%
Stuttgart BTTS
Last 10 matches

Season BTTS rates aren't loaded for this match — call it on the price.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Under 1.5 at 2.02 — call on price alone

Bayern München
0.0
Stuttgart
2.0

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Under 1.5 Goals
Alt:Under 2.52.12Under 3.52.23
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Draw or Stuttgart
Match
Stuttgart to win
Match
Bayern München to win
Match
Full Time
VfB Stuttgart to Win and Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Bayern Munich to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Goals by Bayern Munich
LineOverUnder
2.5
Total Goals by VfB Stuttgart
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeBayern München
AwayStuttgart
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Bayern München
vs Top tier
75%
9W·2D·1L (12)
vs Mid tier
90%
9W·1D·0L (10)
vs Bottom tier
60%
3W·1D·1L (5)
Stuttgart
vs Top tier
43%
6W·2D·6L (14)
vs Mid tier
63%
5W·3D·0L (8)

Momentum Meter

Bayern MünchenStuttgart
—MOMENTUM▲
—PPG (LAST 5)1.20
27%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE21%

League Position

1Bayern Munich89pts
2Borussia Dortmund73pts
3RB Leipzig65pts
4VfB Stuttgart62pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich34+8689
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673
3RB Leipzig34+1965
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262
5TSG Hoffenheim34+1361

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Bayern München — expected: 2.35 goals
0
9.5%
1
22.3%
2
26.3%
3+
41.8%
Stuttgart — expected: 1.65 goals
0
19.2%
1
31.7%
2
26.1%
3+
23.0%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bayern München (3.30 scored / 1.27 conceded per match) and Stuttgart (2.03 / 1.41). Expected total: 4.00.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
98.2%
1.8%
1.02
1.5
90.9%
9.1%
1.10
2.5
76.3%
23.7%
1.31
3.5
56.8%
43.2%
1.76
4.5
37.2%
62.8%
2.69
5.5
21.6%
78.4%
4.64
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Bayern Münchenseason 73.3%
vs Top tier
100%
(12)
vs Mid tier
80%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(5)
Stuttgartseason 58.6%
vs Top tier
50%
(14)
vs Mid tier
75%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Bayern München
26.7%
Stuttgart
24.1%
Clean-sheet win rate: Bayern München 26.7% · Stuttgart 20.7%

Scoring Patterns

Bayern MünchenStuttgart
47%SCORED FIRST38%
0%FAILED TO SCORE21%
93%LEADING AT HT62%
33%CONCEDED 2+48%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Bayern Münchenlead 47% · draw 27% · trail 27%
Stuttgartlead 38% · draw 28% · trail 34%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Bayern München's and Stuttgart's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
36.8%
Home / Draw
1/X
5.5%
Home / Away
1/2
5.5%
Draw / Home
X/1
16.8%
Draw / Draw
X/X
6.5%
Draw / Away
X/2
3.7%
Away / Home
2/1
18.4%
Away / Draw
2/X
18.4%
Away / Away
2/2
12.2%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Bayern München
Stuttgart
Scored first %
46.7%
37.9%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
0%
20.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Bayern MünchenStuttgart
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bayern München (6.27 / 3.67 per match) and Stuttgart (5.79 / 3.93). Expected total: 9.83. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
76.4%
23.6%
1.31
8.5
64.8%
35.2%
1.54
9.5
52.1%
47.9%
1.92
10.5
39.6%
60.4%
2.53
11.5
28.4%
71.6%
3.52
12.5
19.3%
80.7%
5.19
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Bayern München 5.1, Stuttgart 4.7. Difference: +0.4.
Bayern München 52%48% Stuttgart

Cards & Discipline

Bayern MünchenStuttgart
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bayern München (1.57 / 1.57 per match) and Stuttgart (1.93 / 1.93). Expected total: 3.50. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
67.9%
32.1%
1.47
3.5
46.3%
53.7%
2.16
4.5
27.5%
72.5%
3.64
5.5
14.2%
85.8%
7.02
6.5
6.5%
93.5%
15.32

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Bayern MünchenStuttgart
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bayern München (16.77 / 10.37 per match) and Stuttgart (14.45 / 10.86). Expected total: 26.23. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
94.0%
6.0%
1.06
20.5
87.1%
12.9%
1.15
22.5
76.2%
23.8%
1.31
24.5
62.1%
37.9%
1.61
26.5
46.6%
53.4%
2.15
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Bayern München (7.70 / 4.27 per match) and Stuttgart (6.38 / 4.41). Expected total: 11.38. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
93.6%
6.4%
1.07
7.5
88.0%
12.0%
1.14
8.5
80.0%
20.0%
1.25
9.5
69.9%
30.1%
1.43
10.5
58.5%
41.5%
1.71
11.5
46.6%
53.4%
2.15

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Bayern München
Win + BTTS
season
53.3%
vs top
75%
vs mid
70%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
26.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
60%
Win + Over 2.5
season
66.7%
vs top
75%
vs mid
80%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
6.7%
vs top
8.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
20%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
6.7%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
60%
vs top
66.7%
vs mid
60%
vs bottom
60%
Stuttgart
Win + BTTS
season
27.6%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
20.7%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
41.4%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
62.5%
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
10.3%
vs top
7.1%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
41.4%
vs top
35.7%
vs mid
62.5%
vs bottom
—
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Bayern München
lost last match
0
Stuttgart
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Bayern München
—
0W · 0D · 0L · draw rate —
Stuttgart
50%
1W · 3D · 1L · draw rate 60%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Bayern München vs Stuttgart
  • Earth-sign solidity! When the sun is in Capricorn/Taurus/Virgo and Stuttgart playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    9/9Applies today
  • Earth-sign solidity! When the sun is in Capricorn/Taurus/Virgo and Stuttgart playStuttgart SCORE
    9/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Stuttgart playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    11/13Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Stuttgart playStuttgart SCORE
    11/13Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Stuttgart playStuttgart SCORE
    12/13Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Bayern München vs Stuttgart
Bayern München

No player stats yet.

Stuttgart
  • Undav, Deniz
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Leweling, Jamie
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Demirovic, Ermedin
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
BMBayern München
SStuttgart
BundesligaFri 28 Aug, 20:30
18+

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