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★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.

ElversbergvsBayer Leverkusen

GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.0 goals expected, line is 2.5

Elversberg 1.9 g/m, Bayer Leverkusen 1.7. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals

Alt:Over 1.52.75Over 1.52.10

BTTS

Elversberg clean sheets 25% of the time

Bayer Leverkusen keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No

★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.

★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).

Bayer Leverkusen to win

Match

Yes

Match

Elversberg to win

Match

Full Time

Both Teams To Score

Draw and Both Teams To Score

Bayer Leverkusen to Win and Both Teams To Score

Elversberg to Win and Both Teams To Score

Total Goals

LineOverUnder

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

Total Goals by Elversberg

LineOverUnder

1.5

Total Goals by Bayer Leverkusen

LineOverUnder

2.5

Total Goals Odd/Even

Double Chance - 1st Half

Double Chance

Draw No Bet - 1st Half

Draw No Bet

Total Goals - 1st Half

LineOverUnder

1.5

Half Time

★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches

HomeElversberg

AwayBayer Leverkusen

Win Rate vs Table Tier

Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.

Elversberg

vs Top tier

36%

4W·4D·3L (11)

vs Mid tier

38%

3W·3D·2L (8)

vs Bottom tier

75%

6W·0D·2L (8)

Bayer Leverkusen

vs Top tier

33%

3W·2D·4L (9)

vs Mid tier

43%

6W·5D·3L (14)

Momentum Meter

ElversbergBayer Leverkusen

▼MOMENTUM▼

2.00PPG (LAST 5)1.40

21%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE28%

League Position

5TSG Hoffenheim61pts

6Bayer Leverkusen59pts

7SC Freiburg47pts

8Eintracht Frankfurt44pts

League table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	+22	62
5	TSG Hoffenheim	34	+13	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	+21	59

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Elversberg98 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

55 matches analysed

Bayer Leverkusen110 goals

1st half0%

2nd half0%

64 matches analysed

Team Goals Distribution (model)

Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.

Elversberg — expected: 1.54 goals

0

21.5%

1

33.1%

2

25.4%

3+

20.0%

Bayer Leverkusen — expected: 1.49 goals

0

22.5%

1

33.6%

2

25.0%

3+

18.9%

Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Elversberg (1.86 scored / 1.29 conceded per match) and Bayer Leverkusen (1.69 / 1.21). Expected total: 3.03.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

0.5

95.1%

4.9%

1.05

1.5

80.5%

19.5%

1.24

2.5

58.2%

41.8%

1.72

3.5

35.8%

64.2%

2.79

4.5

18.9%

81.1%

5.29

5.5

8.6%

91.4%

11.57

Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).

BTTS Rate vs Table Tier

Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.

Elversbergseason 57.1%

vs Top tier

72.7%

(11)

vs Mid tier

62.5%

(8)

vs Bottom tier

37.5%

(8)

Bayer Leverkusenseason 51.7%

vs Top tier

66.7%

(9)

vs Mid tier

50%

(14)

Clean Sheet Rate

% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil

Elversberg

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

31%

Clean-sheet win rate: Elversberg 21.4% · Bayer Leverkusen 27.6%

Scoring Patterns

ElversbergBayer Leverkusen

43%SCORED FIRST38%

21%FAILED TO SCORE21%

64%LEADING AT HT55%

36%CONCEDED 2+31%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate

How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT

Elversberglead 43% · draw 25% · trail 32%

Bayer Leverkusenlead 38% · draw 34% · trail 28%

HT/FT Combinations (model)

Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Elversberg's and Bayer Leverkusen's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.

Home / Home

1/1

31.1%

Home / Draw

1/X

9.3%

Home / Away

1/2

9.3%

Draw / Home

X/1

11.3%

Draw / Draw

X/X

11.7%

Draw / Away

X/2

6.7%

Away / Home

2/1

11.6%

Away / Draw

2/X

11.6%

Away / Away

2/2

18.2%

Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.

First-Half Tendency

How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.

Stat

Elversberg

Bayer Leverkusen

Scored first %

42.9%

37.9%

Conceded first %

—

Failed to score %

21.4%

20.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average

ElversbergBayer Leverkusen

0CORNERS FOR0

0CORNERS AGAINST0

0NET DIFF0

Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Elversberg (5.93 / 3.36 per match) and Bayer Leverkusen (5.66 / 3.66). Expected total: 9.30. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

7.5

71.1%

28.9%

1.41

8.5

58.4%

41.6%

1.71

9.5

45.3%

54.7%

2.21

10.5

33.1%

66.9%

3.02

11.5

22.8%

77.2%

4.39

12.5

14.8%

85.2%

6.78

Corner Dominance

Expected corners: Elversberg 4.8, Bayer Leverkusen 4.5. Difference: +0.3.

Elversberg 52%48% Bayer Leverkusen

Cards & Discipline

ElversbergBayer Leverkusen

0YELLOW / MATCH0

0RED / MATCH0

0TOTAL / MATCH0

Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Elversberg (1.46 / 1.46 per match) and Bayer Leverkusen (1.66 / 1.66). Expected total: 3.12. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

2.5

60.3%

39.7%

1.66

3.5

38.0%

62.0%

2.63

4.5

20.5%

79.5%

4.87

5.5

9.6%

90.4%

10.36

6.5

4.0%

96.0%

25.05

Shots

Per-match rolling average

ElversbergBayer Leverkusen

0SHOTS / MATCH0

0ON TARGET0

0CONCEDED0

0ON TARGET CONC.0

Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Elversberg (12.86 / 8.96 per match) and Bayer Leverkusen (12.69 / 11.59). Expected total: 23.05. Total shots includes off-target attempts.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

18.5

82.8%

17.2%

1.21

20.5

69.4%

30.6%

1.44

22.5

53.2%

46.8%

1.88

24.5

36.9%

63.1%

2.71

26.5

23.1%

76.9%

4.33

Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)

Poisson estimate from Elversberg (5.46 / 3.54 per match) and Bayer Leverkusen (5.03 / 4.79). Expected total: 9.41. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.

Line

P(Over)

Over %

Under %

Fair odds

6.5

82.8%

17.2%

1.21

7.5

72.2%

27.8%

1.39

8.5

59.7%

40.3%

1.68

9.5

46.6%

53.4%

2.14

10.5

34.4%

65.6%

2.91

11.5

23.8%

76.2%

4.19

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate

How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.

Elversberg

Win + BTTS

season

25%

vs top

36.4%

vs mid

12.5%

vs bottom

25%

Win to Nil

season

21.4%

vs top

0%

vs mid

25%

vs bottom

50%

Win + Over 2.5

season

39.3%

vs top

36.4%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

50%

Loss + BTTS

season

10.7%

vs top

9.1%

vs mid

12.5%

vs bottom

12.5%

Draw + Under 2.5

season

17.9%

vs top

18.2%

vs mid

37.5%

vs bottom

0%

Scored in Both Halves

season

42.9%

vs top

45.5%

vs mid

50%

vs bottom

37.5%

Bayer Leverkusen

Win + BTTS

season

17.2%

vs top

22.2%

vs mid

14.3%

vs bottom

—

Win to Nil

season

27.6%

vs top

11.1%

vs mid

28.6%

vs bottom

—

Win + Over 2.5

season

27.6%

vs top

22.2%

vs mid

14.3%

vs bottom

—

Loss + BTTS

season

10.3%

vs top

22.2%

vs mid

7.1%

vs bottom

—

Draw + Under 2.5

season

20.7%

vs top

22.2%

vs mid

28.6%

vs bottom

—

Scored in Both Halves

season

34.5%

vs top

22.2%

vs mid

21.4%

vs bottom

—

Unbeaten Run

Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB

Elversberg

3 matches unbeaten

3

Bayer Leverkusen

lost last match

0

Win % Excluding Draws

How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor

Elversberg

75%

3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

Bayer Leverkusen

50%

2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

The Prime Number Effect! When Elversberg play on prime datesElversberg SCORE
11/13Applies today
The Time Factor! Schick, Patrik with early kickoff (11:00–14:00)Schick, Patrik BOMBARDS THE GOAL (2+ shots on target)
5/6Applies today
Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Elversberg playElversberg SCORE
14/15Applies today
Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Elversberg playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
7/8Applies today
The Prime Number Effect! When Bayer Leverkusen play on prime datesBayer Leverkusen SCORE
8/10Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends

No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams to score
Elversberg57%
Bayer Leverkusen52%
Away team total goals
Elversberg1.86 goals/match
Bayer Leverkusen1.69 goals/match

League bests

BEST OVERALL

#1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
#2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
#3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match

BEST ATTACK

#1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
#2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
#3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match

BEST DEFENCE

#1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
#2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
#3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match

BEST FORM

#1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
#2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
#3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5

BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE

#1IK Sirius+18
#2Hammarby IF+14
#3Djurgardens IF+8

★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Elversberg

Adam, Raif
0G
0A
0
Petkov, Lukas
0G
0A
0
Mokwa, David
0G
0A
0

Bayer Leverkusen

Schick, Patrik
0G
0A
0
Vazquez, Lucas
0G
0A
0
Kofane, Christian Michel
0G
0A
0

TOP SCORERS

1
Ure, RobbieSIR
12
2
Botheim, ErikMAL
10
3
Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
10
4
Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
9
5
Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
7
6
Abraham, PaulosHIF
7
7
Heintz, TobiasIFK
6
8
Besara, NahirHIF
5
9
Lind, VictorHIF
5
10
Bergstrom, JacobMJA
5

Top Assists

1
Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
8
2
Berg, OliverBRO
5
3
Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
5
4
Krusnell, OscarSIR
5
5
Hansen, MadsBRO
5
6
Sana, TobiasORG
4
7
Besara, NahirHIF
4
8
Layouni, AmorHAC
4
9
Lushaku, IsmetVAS
4
10
Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
4

★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.

EElversberg

BLBayer Leverkusen

BundesligaSat 29 Aug, 15:30

18+

Junibet is a prototype — bets are not placed. Play responsibly.

18+·Play responsibly·begambleaware.org

Both attacks fire — 3.0 goals expected, line is 2.5

Elversberg clean sheets 25% of the time

1X2

Both Teams to Score

Goals Over/Under

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Half Time

Correct Score

HT/FT

Handicaps

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Momentum Meter

League Position

League table

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Scoring Patterns

Half-Time Behaviour

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Cards & Discipline

Shots

Combos & Specials

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Match Insights

MATCH INSIGHT

League bests

PLAYER PROFILE

TOP SCORERS

Top Assists