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LeedsvsManchester United
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
LeedsvsManchester United
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

LEE
LEEDS
0–0
MAN
MANCHESTER
41% · most likely outcome (next: 0-1 at 32%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 3.37. Lean only.

Leeds 0-0
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

55%
Leeds BTTS
68%
Manchester U BTTS
Last 10 matches

Leeds at 55%, Manchester United at 68%. The H2H rate is 61% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.9 goals expected, line is 2.5

Leeds
1.4
Manchester United
1.9

Leeds 1.4 g/m, Manchester United 1.9. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.51.65Over 2.54.90
CORNERS

Leeds live in the opposition third — 9.2 corners/match between them

Leeds avg 4.0Manchester United avg 5.2
4.0
5.2
total scale: 0 → 14

Combined 9.2/m vs the 10.5 line — only 1.3 under. The shape is right, the margin is thin.

Under 10.5 Corners
Alt:Under 9.52.02Under 7.53.60
MATCH RESULT

Leeds unbeaten in 5

WDDWD

Hard to break right now. Leeds to win at 2.88 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Leeds to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
Full Time
Leeds United to Win At Least One Half
Manchester United to Win At Least One Half
Leeds United to Win to Nil
Manchester United to Win to Nil
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Leeds United to Win and Both Teams To Score
Manchester United to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Goal in Both Halves
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Under—
Total Goals by Manchester United
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Leeds United
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Manchester United - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Leeds United - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Leeds United - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Manchester United - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Leeds
Leeds
Leeds
Half Time
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
2nd Half
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
5.5
Total Corners By Manchester United - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by Leeds United
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners by Manchester United
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners By Leeds United - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Leeds
Leeds
Leeds
Most Corners
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Total Shots on Target by Leeds United
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
Total Shots on Target by Manchester United
LineOver2
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeLeeds
AwayManchester United
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Leeds
vs Top tier
29%
2W·4D·1L (7)
vs Mid tier
33%
2W·3D·1L (6)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·2D·1L (5)
Manchester United
vs Top tier
78%
7W·0D·2L (9)
vs Mid tier
56%
5W·3D·1L (9)

Momentum Meter

LeedsManchester United
▲MOMENTUM▼
1.80PPG (LAST 5)1.00
18%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE20%

League Position

11Ipswich Town6pts
12Manchester United5pts
13Nottingham Forest5pts
14Sunderland AFC4pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal FC5+412
3Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford FC5+69
5Leeds United5+49
12Manchester United505

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Leeds vs Manchester United
Leeds91 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Manchester United101 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
53 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Leeds — expected: 1.34 goals
0
26.1%
1
35.0%
2
23.6%
3+
15.3%
Manchester United — expected: 1.53 goals
0
21.7%
1
33.1%
2
25.3%
3+
19.9%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Leeds (1.45 scored / 1.14 conceded per match) and Manchester United (1.92 / 1.24). Expected total: 2.88.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
94.4%
5.6%
1.06
1.5
78.1%
21.9%
1.28
2.5
54.8%
45.2%
1.82
3.5
32.5%
67.5%
3.08
4.5
16.4%
83.6%
6.09
5.5
7.2%
92.8%
13.92
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Leedsseason 54.5%
vs Top tier
57.1%
(7)
vs Mid tier
50%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(5)
Manchester Unitedseason 68%
vs Top tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Mid tier
66.7%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Leeds
31.8%
Manchester United
24%
Clean-sheet win rate: Leeds 18.2% · Manchester United 20%

Scoring Patterns

LeedsManchester United
32%SCORED FIRST36%
27%FAILED TO SCORE12%
59%LEADING AT HT64%
23%CONCEDED 2+44%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Manchester Utd1 - 2Leeds Utd
Leeds Utd1 - 1Manchester Utd
Leeds Utd0 - 2Manchester Utd
Manchester Utd2 - 2Leeds Utd
Leeds Utd2 - 4Manchester Utd
Manchester Utd5 - 1Leeds Utd

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Leedslead 32% · draw 50% · trail 18%
Manchester Unitedlead 36% · draw 48% · trail 16%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Leeds's and Manchester United's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
26.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.9%
Home / Away
1/2
7.9%
Draw / Home
X/1
18.7%
Draw / Draw
X/X
18.7%
Draw / Away
X/2
11.6%
Away / Home
2/1
6.5%
Away / Draw
2/X
6.5%
Away / Away
2/2
10.6%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Leeds
Manchester United
Scored first %
31.8%
36%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
27.3%
12%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
LeedsManchester United
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Leeds (4.00 / 5.14 per match) and Manchester United (5.24 / 4.20). Expected total: 9.29. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
70.9%
29.1%
1.41
8.5
58.2%
41.8%
1.72
9.5
45.1%
54.9%
2.22
10.5
32.9%
67.1%
3.04
11.5
22.6%
77.4%
4.42
12.5
14.6%
85.4%
6.83
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Leeds 4.1, Manchester United 5.2. Difference: -1.1.
Leeds 44%56% Manchester United

Cards & Discipline

LeedsManchester United
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Leeds (1.77 / 1.77 per match) and Manchester United (1.72 / 1.72). Expected total: 3.49. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
67.7%
32.3%
1.48
3.5
46.1%
53.9%
2.17
4.5
27.3%
72.7%
3.67
5.5
14.1%
85.9%
7.09
6.5
6.5%
93.5%
15.50

Shots

Per-match rolling average
LeedsManchester United
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Leeds (10.50 / 12.00 per match) and Manchester United (14.79 / 11.00). Expected total: 24.14. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
87.8%
12.2%
1.14
20.5
76.6%
23.4%
1.30
22.5
62.0%
38.0%
1.61
24.5
45.8%
54.2%
2.18
26.5
30.7%
69.3%
3.26
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Leeds (3.75 / 4.00 per match) and Manchester United (5.38 / 3.46). Expected total: 8.29. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
72.1%
27.9%
1.39
7.5
58.7%
41.3%
1.70
8.5
44.9%
55.1%
2.23
9.5
32.1%
67.9%
3.12
10.5
21.4%
78.6%
4.66
11.5
13.4%
86.6%
7.44

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Leeds
Win + BTTS
season
18.2%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
18.2%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
20%
Win + Over 2.5
season
22.7%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
4.5%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
36.4%
vs top
42.9%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
40%
Scored in Both Halves
season
18.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
16.7%
vs bottom
40%
Manchester United
Win + BTTS
season
36%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
20%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
44%
vs top
66.7%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
12%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
16%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
32%
vs top
55.6%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
—
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Leeds
5 matches unbeaten
5
Manchester United
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Leeds
100%
2W · 3D · 0L · draw rate 60%
Manchester United
33.3%
1W · 2D · 2L · draw rate 40%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Leeds vs Manchester United
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Leeds playLeeds SCORE
    12/12Applies today
  • Numerology speaks! When the date digits add to an even number and Manchester United playManchester United SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Manchester United playManchester United SCORE
    12/15Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Manchester United playManchester United SCORE
    10/12Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Leeds playLeeds SCORE
    11/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Leeds vs Manchester United
  • Dobbeltchance
  • Home team corners
    Leeds4.0 /match
    Manchester United5.2 /match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Leeds vs Manchester United
Leeds
  • Okafor, Noah
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Piroe, Joel
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Rodon, Joe
    0G
    0A
    0
Manchester United
  • Sesko, Benjamin
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Fernandes, Bruno
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Dorgu, Patrick
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LLeeds
MUManchester United
Premier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 15:00
Round
Premier League matchweek
7
VenueElland RoadLeeds · England · 37,645
Historical H2H (8 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.88 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 63% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
13 Apr 26Manchester United vs Leeds United1–2—
04 Jan 26Leeds United vs Manchester United1–1—
12 Feb 23Leeds United vs Manchester United0–2—
08 Feb 23Manchester United vs Leeds United2–2—
20 Feb 22Leeds United vs Manchester United2–4—
14 Aug 21Manchester United vs Leeds United5–1—
25 Apr 21Leeds United vs Manchester United0–0—
20 Dec 20Manchester United vs Leeds United6–2—
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