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Manchester CityvsIpswich Town
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Manchester CityvsIpswich Town
CORRECT SCORE

1-0 to Manchester is the modal outcome

MC
MANCHESTER C
1–0
IT
IPSWICH TOWN
41% · most likely outcome (next: 0-0 at 32%)

Sums to 1 — model's expectation runs at 3.71. Lean only.

Manchester 1-0
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.1 goals expected, line is 2.5

Manchester City
2.0
Ipswich Town
1.8

Manchester City 2.0 g/m, Ipswich Town 1.8. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.52.65Over 2.51.73
CORNERS

Manchester City live in the opposition third — 12.0 corners/match between them

Manchester City avg 7.3Ipswich Town avg 4.7
7.3
4.7
total scale: 0 → 15

Combined 12.0/m vs the 10.5 line — only 1.5 over. The shape is right, the margin is thin.

Over 10.5 Corners
Alt:Over 9.51.50Over 9.53.00
BTTS

Manchester City clean sheets 44% of the time

44%
Manchester C CS
33%
Ipswich Town CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Ipswich Town keep one in 3. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Manchester City
Match
Full Time
Ipswich Town to Win At Least One Half
Manchester City to Win At Least One Half
Ipswich Town to Win to Nil
Manchester City to Win to Nil
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Manchester City to Win and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Ipswich Town to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
Over—
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Under—
Total Goals by Manchester City
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Under—
Total Goals by Ipswich Town
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Under—
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Ipswich Town - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Manchester City - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Manchester City - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Ipswich Town - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Manchester City
Manchester City
Manchester City
Half Time
2nd Half
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
5.5
Total Corners by Manchester City
LineOverUnder
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
Total Corners By Ipswich Town - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Corners by Ipswich Town
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Corners By Manchester City - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Manchester City
Manchester City
Manchester City
Manchester City
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Most Corners
Total Shots on Target by Manchester City
LineOver2
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
Total Shots on Target by Ipswich Town
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeManchester City
AwayIpswich Town
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Manchester City
vs Top tier
33%
2W·1D·3L (6)
vs Bottom tier
78%
7W·2D·0L (9)
Ipswich Town
vs Top tier
17%
1W·3D·2L (6)
vs Mid tier
78%
7W·1D·1L (9)
vs Bottom tier
33%
2W·2D·2L (6)

Momentum Meter

Manchester CityIpswich Town
→MOMENTUM▲
3.00PPG (LAST 5)1.20
44%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE29%

League Position

8Hull City8pts
9Newcastle United8pts
10Chelsea FC7pts
11Ipswich Town6pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City5+815
2Arsenal FC5+412
3Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110
4Brentford FC5+69
5Leeds United5+49
11Ipswich Town5-46

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
Manchester City122 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Ipswich Town105 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Manchester City — expected: 1.69 goals
0
18.5%
1
31.2%
2
26.4%
3+
24.0%
Ipswich Town — expected: 1.40 goals
0
24.8%
1
34.6%
2
24.1%
3+
16.5%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Manchester City (1.96 scored / 1.04 conceded per match) and Ipswich Town (1.75 / 1.42). Expected total: 3.08.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
95.4%
4.6%
1.05
1.5
81.3%
18.7%
1.23
2.5
59.6%
40.4%
1.68
3.5
37.2%
62.8%
2.69
4.5
19.9%
80.1%
5.02
5.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.78
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Manchester Cityseason 47.8%
vs Top tier
66.7%
(6)
vs Bottom tier
44.4%
(9)
Ipswich Townseason 54.2%
vs Top tier
66.7%
(6)
vs Mid tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Manchester City
43.5%
Ipswich Town
33.3%
Clean-sheet win rate: Manchester City 43.5% · Ipswich Town 29.2%

Scoring Patterns

Manchester CityIpswich Town
44%SCORED FIRST29%
9%FAILED TO SCORE17%
78%LEADING AT HT63%
30%CONCEDED 2+38%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Ipswich Town0 - 6Manchester City
Manchester City4 - 1Ipswich Town

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Manchester Citylead 43% · draw 39% · trail 17%
Ipswich Townlead 29% · draw 46% · trail 25%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Manchester City's and Ipswich Town's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
29.8%
Home / Draw
1/X
6.5%
Home / Away
1/2
6.5%
Draw / Home
X/1
20.7%
Draw / Draw
X/X
14.7%
Draw / Away
X/2
7.1%
Away / Home
2/1
10.3%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.3%
Away / Away
2/2
10.9%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
Scored first %
43.5%
29.2%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
8.7%
16.7%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Manchester CityIpswich Town
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Manchester City (7.30 / 3.43 per match) and Ipswich Town (4.67 / 3.83). Expected total: 9.61. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
74.3%
25.7%
1.35
8.5
62.2%
37.8%
1.61
9.5
49.3%
50.7%
2.03
10.5
36.9%
63.1%
2.71
11.5
26.0%
74.0%
3.84
12.5
17.3%
82.7%
5.77
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Manchester City 5.6, Ipswich Town 4.0. Difference: +1.5.
Manchester City 58%42% Ipswich Town

Cards & Discipline

Manchester CityIpswich Town
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Manchester City (1.48 / 1.48 per match) and Ipswich Town (2.25 / 2.25). Expected total: 3.73. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
72.0%
28.0%
1.39
3.5
51.2%
48.8%
1.95
4.5
31.9%
68.1%
3.14
5.5
17.4%
82.6%
5.74
6.5
8.4%
91.6%
11.84

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Manchester CityIpswich Town
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Manchester City (15.55 / 8.68 per match) and Ipswich Town (10.05 / 10.45). Expected total: 22.37. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
79.0%
21.0%
1.27
20.5
64.2%
35.8%
1.56
22.5
47.5%
52.5%
2.11
24.5
31.6%
68.4%
3.17
26.5
18.8%
81.2%
5.31
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Manchester City (5.73 / 3.18 per match) and Ipswich Town (4.00 / 3.68). Expected total: 8.29. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
72.1%
27.9%
1.39
7.5
58.7%
41.3%
1.70
8.5
44.9%
55.1%
2.23
9.5
32.1%
67.9%
3.12
10.5
21.4%
78.6%
4.66
11.5
13.4%
86.6%
7.44

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Manchester City
Win + BTTS
season
17.4%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
22.2%
Win to Nil
season
43.5%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
55.6%
Win + Over 2.5
season
34.8%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
33.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
8.7%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
11.1%
Scored in Both Halves
season
30.4%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
—
vs bottom
33.3%
Ipswich Town
Win + BTTS
season
20.8%
vs top
0%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win to Nil
season
29.2%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
44.4%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win + Over 2.5
season
29.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
55.6%
vs bottom
16.7%
Loss + BTTS
season
12.5%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
12.5%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
37.5%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
55.6%
vs bottom
33.3%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Manchester City
5 matches unbeaten
5
Ipswich Town
1 match unbeaten
1
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Manchester City
100%
5W · 0D · 0L · draw rate 0%
Ipswich Town
40%
2W · 0D · 3L · draw rate 0%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
  • The Prime Number Effect! When Manchester City play on prime datesManchester City SCORE
    10/11Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Manchester City playManchester City SCORE
    14/14Applies today
  • The Starting XI Effect! When Haaland, Erling are in the starting line-upHaaland, Erling FINDS THE NET
    5/5Applies today
  • The Starting XI Effect! When Haaland, Erling are in the starting line-upHaaland, Erling GOAL OR ASSIST
    5/5Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Manchester City playManchester City SCORE
    14/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
  • Away team corners
    Manchester City7.3 /match
    Ipswich Town4.7 /match

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town
Manchester City
  • Haaland, Erling
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Cherki, Rayan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • O'Reilly, Nico
    0G
    0A
    0
Ipswich Town
  • Cajuste, Jens-Lys
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Johnson, Ben
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Akpom, Chuba
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
MCManchester City
ITIpswich Town
Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 16:00
Round
Premier League matchweek
7
VenueEtihad StadiumManchester · England · 52,900
At This Venue
Last 1 meeting at Etihad Stadium.
24 Aug 24Manchester City vs Ipswich Town4–1
Historical H2H (2 meetings)
Avg goals: 5.50 · BTTS: 50% · Over 2.5: 100% · Clean sheet either side: 50%
DateMatchScoreComp.
19 Jan 25Ipswich Town vs Manchester City0–6—
24 Aug 24Manchester City vs Ipswich Town4–1—
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