junibet
Ipswich TownvsSunderland
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Ipswich TownvsSunderland
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

IT
IPSWICH TOWN
0–0
SUN
SUNDERLAND
45% · most likely outcome (next: 0-1 at 28%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 2.72. Lean only.

Ipswich 0-0
BTTS

Ipswich Town clean sheets 42% of the time

42%
Ipswich Town CS
28%
Sunderland CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Sunderland keep one in 4. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.5 goals expected, line is 2.5

Ipswich Town
1.7
Sunderland
1.0

Ipswich Town 1.7 g/m, Sunderland 1.0. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.00Over 1.52.35
MATCH RESULT

Ipswich Town unbeaten in 5

DWDDW

Hard to break right now. Ipswich Town to win at 2.65 respects the pattern without overpaying.

Ipswich Town to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Sunderland to win
Match
Ipswich Town to win
Match
Over (Over)
Match
Full Time
Sunderland to Win to Nil
Ipswich Town to Win to Nil
Sunderland to Win At Least One Half
Ipswich Town to Win At Least One Half
Sunderland To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score
Ipswich Town To Score - 1st Half
Goal in Both Halves
Ipswich Town to Win and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Sunderland to Win and Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Ipswich Town
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Sunderland
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Total Goals by Ipswich Town Odd/Even
Total Goals by Sunderland Odd/Even
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 2nd Half
Line1X
Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town
2nd Half
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeIpswich Town
AwaySunderland
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Ipswich Town
vs Top tier
38%
3W·4D·1L (8)
vs Mid tier
75%
6W·2D·0L (8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·2D·2L (8)
Sunderland
vs Top tier
0%
0W·2D·5L (7)
vs Mid tier
50%
6W·4D·2L (12)
vs Bottom tier
43%
3W·2D·2L (7)

Momentum Meter

Ipswich TownSunderland
▲MOMENTUM▲
1.80PPG (LAST 5)1.60
35%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE17%

League Position

1Arsenal FC85pts
2Manchester City78pts
3Manchester United71pts
4Aston Villa65pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal FC38+4485
2Manchester City38+4278
3Manchester United38+1971
4Aston Villa38+765
5Liverpool FC38+1060

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
Ipswich Town94 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
55 matches analysed
Sunderland58 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
53 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Ipswich Town — expected: 1.52 goals
0
22.0%
1
33.3%
2
25.2%
3+
19.5%
Sunderland — expected: 1.02 goals
0
36.2%
1
36.8%
2
18.7%
3+
8.3%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Ipswich Town (1.69 scored / 1.00 conceded per match) and Sunderland (1.03 / 1.34). Expected total: 2.53.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
92.0%
8.0%
1.09
1.5
71.9%
28.1%
1.39
2.5
46.4%
53.6%
2.16
3.5
24.9%
75.1%
4.02
4.5
11.3%
88.7%
8.86
5.5
4.4%
95.6%
22.70
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Ipswich Townseason 50%
vs Top tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Mid tier
37.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(8)
Sunderlandseason 48.3%
vs Top tier
14.3%
(7)
vs Mid tier
75%
(12)
vs Bottom tier
42.9%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Ipswich Town
42.3%
Sunderland
27.6%
Clean-sheet win rate: Ipswich Town 34.6% · Sunderland 17.2%

Scoring Patterns

Ipswich TownSunderland
42%SCORED FIRST24%
15%FAILED TO SCORE35%
65%LEADING AT HT55%
23%CONCEDED 2+28%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Ipswich Townlead 42% · draw 38% · trail 19%
Sunderlandlead 24% · draw 38% · trail 38%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Ipswich Town's and Sunderland's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
27.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
6.2%
Home / Away
1/2
6.2%
Draw / Home
X/1
14.7%
Draw / Draw
X/X
14.8%
Draw / Away
X/2
8.7%
Away / Home
2/1
10.6%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.6%
Away / Away
2/2
18.0%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Ipswich Town
Sunderland
Scored first %
42.3%
24.1%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
15.4%
34.5%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Ipswich TownSunderland
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Ipswich Town (6.38 / 3.96 per match) and Sunderland (4.10 / 5.17). Expected total: 9.80. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
76.2%
23.8%
1.31
8.5
64.5%
35.5%
1.55
9.5
51.7%
48.3%
1.93
10.5
39.3%
60.7%
2.55
11.5
28.1%
71.9%
3.56
12.5
19.0%
81.0%
5.25
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Ipswich Town 5.8, Sunderland 4.0. Difference: +1.7.
Ipswich Town 59%41% Sunderland

Cards & Discipline

Ipswich TownSunderland
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Ipswich Town (2.19 / 2.19 per match) and Sunderland (2.55 / 2.55). Expected total: 4.74. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
85.2%
14.8%
1.17
3.5
69.7%
30.3%
1.44
4.5
51.3%
48.7%
1.95
5.5
33.9%
66.1%
2.95
6.5
20.1%
79.9%
4.98

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Ipswich TownSunderland
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Ipswich Town (11.31 / 9.04 per match) and Sunderland (10.00 / 12.72). Expected total: 21.54. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
73.7%
26.3%
1.36
20.5
57.5%
42.5%
1.74
22.5
40.4%
59.6%
2.47
24.5
25.5%
74.5%
3.93
26.5
14.3%
85.7%
6.99
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Ipswich Town (5.12 / 3.58 per match) and Sunderland (3.72 / 4.03). Expected total: 8.23. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
71.3%
28.7%
1.40
7.5
57.8%
42.2%
1.73
8.5
43.9%
56.1%
2.28
9.5
31.2%
68.8%
3.21
10.5
20.7%
79.3%
4.83
11.5
12.9%
87.1%
7.76

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Ipswich Town
Win + BTTS
season
19.2%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
25%
Win to Nil
season
34.6%
vs top
25%
vs mid
62.5%
vs bottom
25%
Win + Over 2.5
season
30.8%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
37.5%
Loss + BTTS
season
7.7%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
19.2%
vs top
25%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
25%
Scored in Both Halves
season
38.5%
vs top
37.5%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
25%
Sunderland
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
41.7%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
17.2%
vs top
0%
vs mid
8.3%
vs bottom
42.9%
Win + Over 2.5
season
20.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
41.7%
vs bottom
14.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
8.3%
vs bottom
14.3%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
31%
vs top
28.6%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
28.6%
Scored in Both Halves
season
17.2%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
14.3%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Ipswich Town
5 matches unbeaten
5
Sunderland
lost last match
0
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Ipswich Town
100%
2W · 3D · 0L · draw rate 60%
Sunderland
66.7%
2W · 2D · 1L · draw rate 40%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Ipswich Town playIpswich Town SCORE
    12/13Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Ipswich Town playIpswich Town SCORE
    9/10Applies today
  • FTSE at a 30-day high! When the FTSE 100 prints a fresh monthly high and Sunderland playSunderland SCORE
    6/8Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Sunderland playSunderland SCORE
    7/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Ipswich Town playIpswich Town SCORE
    11/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland
Ipswich Town
  • Johnson, Ben
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Philogene, Jaden
    0G
    0A
    0
  • McAteer, Kasey
    0G
    0A
    0
Sunderland
  • Talbi, Chemsdine
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Mayenda, Eliezer
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Le Fee, Enzo
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
ITIpswich Town
SSunderland
Premier LeagueSat 22 Aug, 16:00
18+

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