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NicevsLorient
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
NicevsLorient
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

NIC
NICE
0–0
LOR
LORIENT
59% · most likely outcome (next: 1-0 at 41%)

Bookie's headline pick — peak of the model's distribution. Correct score is hard; treat the pin small.

Nice 0-0
BTTS

Both teams to score · 1.58

0%
Nice BTTS
52%
Lorient BTTS
Last 10 matches

Season BTTS rates aren't loaded for this match — call it on the price.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Under 2.5 at 2.00 — call on price alone

Nice
0.0
Lorient
1.7

Season goals data isn't loaded yet. Price is in the band but the data layer's thin.

Under 2.5 Goals
Alt:Under 1.51.71Under 1.54.00
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Nice to win
Match
Full Time
Nice to Win and Both Teams To Score
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
Lorient to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Nice
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Lorient
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeNice
AwayLorient
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Nice
vs Top tier
0%
0W·4D·6L (10)
vs Mid tier
22%
2W·4D·3L (9)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·2D·1L (5)
Lorient
vs Top tier
40%
4W·4D·2L (10)
vs Mid tier
30%
3W·3D·4L (10)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·3D·0L (5)

Momentum Meter

NiceLorient
—MOMENTUM▲
—PPG (LAST 5)1.40
7%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE24%

League Position

1Paris Saint-Germain76pts
2Racing Club De Lens70pts
3Lille OSC61pts
4Olympique Lyon60pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain34+4576
2Racing Club De Lens34+3170
3Lille OSC34+1561
4Olympique Lyon34+1360
5Olympique Marseille34+1859

Goals & BTTS

Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Nice — expected: 1.10 goals
0
33.3%
1
36.6%
2
20.1%
3+
10.0%
Lorient — expected: 1.56 goals
0
20.9%
1
32.7%
2
25.6%
3+
20.8%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Nice (1.13 scored / 1.47 conceded per match) and Lorient (1.66 / 1.07). Expected total: 2.67.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
93.0%
7.0%
1.07
1.5
74.5%
25.5%
1.34
2.5
49.8%
50.2%
2.01
3.5
27.8%
72.2%
3.59
4.5
13.2%
86.8%
7.58
5.5
5.4%
94.6%
18.53
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Niceseason 53.3%
vs Top tier
40%
(10)
vs Mid tier
55.6%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
60%
(5)
Lorientseason 51.7%
vs Top tier
40%
(10)
vs Mid tier
60%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
80%
(5)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Nice
23.3%
Lorient
31%
Clean-sheet win rate: Nice 6.7% · Lorient 24.1%

Scoring Patterns

NiceLorient
13%SCORED FIRST41%
40%FAILED TO SCORE24%
43%LEADING AT HT59%
37%CONCEDED 2+28%

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Nicelead 13% · draw 40% · trail 47%
Lorientlead 41% · draw 45% · trail 14%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Nice's and Lorient's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
19.6%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.7%
Home / Away
1/2
7.7%
Draw / Home
X/1
15.2%
Draw / Draw
X/X
15.1%
Draw / Away
X/2
12.2%
Away / Home
2/1
10.4%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.4%
Away / Away
2/2
19.8%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Nice
Lorient
Scored first %
13.3%
41.4%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
40%
24.1%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
NiceLorient
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Nice (5.87 / 5.07 per match) and Lorient (3.69 / 5.55). Expected total: 10.09. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
78.8%
21.2%
1.27
8.5
67.7%
32.3%
1.48
9.5
55.3%
44.7%
1.81
10.5
42.8%
57.2%
2.34
11.5
31.4%
68.6%
3.19
12.5
21.7%
78.3%
4.61
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Nice 5.7, Lorient 4.4. Difference: +1.3.
Nice 57%43% Lorient

Cards & Discipline

NiceLorient
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Nice (1.90 / 1.90 per match) and Lorient (1.31 / 1.31). Expected total: 3.21. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
62.2%
37.8%
1.61
3.5
40.0%
60.0%
2.50
4.5
22.1%
77.9%
4.52
5.5
10.7%
89.3%
9.39
6.5
4.5%
95.5%
22.11

Shots

Per-match rolling average
NiceLorient
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Nice (9.47 / 11.43 per match) and Lorient (9.72 / 8.90). Expected total: 19.76. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
59.8%
40.2%
1.67
20.5
42.0%
58.0%
2.38
22.5
26.1%
73.9%
3.83
24.5
14.4%
85.6%
6.96
26.5
7.0%
93.0%
14.30
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Nice (3.80 / 4.03 per match) and Lorient (3.83 / 3.34). Expected total: 7.50. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
62.2%
37.8%
1.61
7.5
47.5%
52.5%
2.10
8.5
33.8%
66.2%
2.96
9.5
22.4%
77.6%
4.47
10.5
13.8%
86.2%
7.26
11.5
7.9%
92.1%
12.62

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Nice
Win + BTTS
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
40%
Win to Nil
season
6.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
0%
Win + Over 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
10%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
20%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
33.3%
vs top
40%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
40%
Scored in Both Halves
season
13.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
20%
Lorient
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
10%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
24.1%
vs top
30%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
20%
Win + Over 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
10%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
3.4%
vs top
0%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
27.6%
vs top
30%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
40%
Scored in Both Halves
season
41.4%
vs top
40%
vs mid
40%
vs bottom
40%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Nice
lost last match
0
Lorient
1 match unbeaten
1
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Nice
—
0W · 0D · 0L · draw rate —
Lorient
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Nice vs Lorient
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Lorient playTIGHT GAME (Under 2.5)
    7/9Applies today
  • FTSE in the green! When the London market closes up and Lorient playLorient SCORE
    14/16Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Lorient playLorient SCORE
    12/15Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Lorient playLorient SCORE
    11/14Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Lorient playLorient SCORE
    10/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Nice vs Lorient
Nice

No player stats yet.

Lorient
  • Dieng, Bamba
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Katseris, Panos
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Kouassi, Arsene
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
NNice
LLorient
Ligue 1Sat 22 Aug, 20:45
18+

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