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Le HavrevsAS Monaco
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
Le HavrevsAS Monaco
GOALS

Tight game shape — 2.7 goals expected, line is 3.5

Le Havre
0.9
AS Monaco
1.6

Both defences holding. Combined 2.7 goals/match leans clearly under the 3.5 line.

Under 3.5 Goals
Alt:Under 2.52.30Under 1.54.90
CORRECT SCORE

0-0 leads — model's flat-curve pick

LH
LE HAVRE
0–0
MON
MONACO
56% · most likely outcome (next: 0-1 at 44%)

Sums to 0 — model's expectation runs at 2.50. Lean only.

Le 0-0
BTTS

Le Havre clean sheets 27% of the time

27%
Le Havre CS
27%
AS Monaco CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

AS Monaco keep one in 4. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
AS Monaco to win
Match
Full Time
Draw and Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score
AS Monaco to Win and Both Teams To Score
Le Havre to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Goals by Le Havre
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by AS Monaco
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeLe Havre
AwayAS Monaco
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Le Havre
vs Top tier
9%
1W·3D·7L (11)
vs Mid tier
36%
4W·5D·2L (11)
vs Bottom tier
14%
1W·5D·1L (7)
AS Monaco
vs Top tier
47%
7W·3D·5L (15)
vs Mid tier
22%
2W·3D·4L (9)

Momentum Meter

Le HavreAS Monaco
▲MOMENTUM▼
1.20PPG (LAST 5)1.00
10%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE17%

League Position

6Stade Rennais FC59pts
7AS Monaco54pts
8Strasbourg Alsace53pts
9Toulouse FC45pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain34+4576
2Racing Club De Lens34+3170
3Lille OSC34+1561
4Olympique Lyon34+1360
5Olympique Marseille34+1859
7AS Monaco34+654

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Le Havre vs AS Monaco
Le Havre48 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
56 matches analysed
AS Monaco99 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
61 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Le Havre — expected: 1.22 goals
0
29.5%
1
36.0%
2
22.0%
3+
12.5%
AS Monaco — expected: 1.45 goals
0
23.5%
1
34.0%
2
24.7%
3+
17.9%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (0.87 scored / 1.27 conceded per match) and AS Monaco (1.63 / 1.57). Expected total: 2.67.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
93.1%
6.9%
1.07
1.5
74.6%
25.4%
1.34
2.5
49.9%
50.1%
2.00
3.5
27.9%
72.1%
3.58
4.5
13.3%
86.7%
7.54
5.5
5.4%
94.6%
18.40
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Le Havreseason 43.3%
vs Top tier
36.4%
(11)
vs Mid tier
45.5%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
57.1%
(7)
AS Monacoseason 63.3%
vs Top tier
60%
(15)
vs Mid tier
44.4%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Le Havre
26.7%
AS Monaco
26.7%
Clean-sheet win rate: Le Havre 10% · AS Monaco 16.7%

Scoring Patterns

Le HavreAS Monaco
10%SCORED FIRST30%
47%FAILED TO SCORE20%
33%LEADING AT HT60%
27%CONCEDED 2+40%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Le Havre AC0 - 0AS Monaco
AS Monaco3 - 1Le Havre AC
Le Havre AC1 - 1AS Monaco
AS Monaco3 - 1Le Havre AC

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Le Havrelead 10% · draw 60% · trail 30%
AS Monacolead 30% · draw 47% · trail 23%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Le Havre's and AS Monaco's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
12.8%
Home / Draw
1/X
7.2%
Home / Away
1/2
7.2%
Draw / Home
X/1
18.1%
Draw / Draw
X/X
18.9%
Draw / Away
X/2
16.3%
Away / Home
2/1
9.1%
Away / Draw
2/X
9.1%
Away / Away
2/2
17.6%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Le Havre
AS Monaco
Scored first %
10%
30%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
46.7%
20%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
Le HavreAS Monaco
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (4.37 / 5.00 per match) and AS Monaco (5.00 / 4.73). Expected total: 9.55. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
73.6%
26.4%
1.36
8.5
61.4%
38.6%
1.63
9.5
48.5%
51.5%
2.06
10.5
36.1%
63.9%
2.77
11.5
25.3%
74.7%
3.95
12.5
16.8%
83.2%
5.96
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Le Havre 4.6, AS Monaco 5.0. Difference: -0.4.
Le Havre 48%52% AS Monaco

Cards & Discipline

Le HavreAS Monaco
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (2.07 / 2.07 per match) and AS Monaco (2.33 / 2.33). Expected total: 4.40. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
81.5%
18.5%
1.23
3.5
64.1%
35.9%
1.56
4.5
44.9%
55.1%
2.23
5.5
28.0%
72.0%
3.57
6.5
15.6%
84.4%
6.40

Shots

Per-match rolling average
Le HavreAS Monaco
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (9.13 / 10.83 per match) and AS Monaco (10.30 / 12.63). Expected total: 21.45. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
73.0%
27.0%
1.37
20.5
56.7%
43.3%
1.76
22.5
39.7%
60.3%
2.52
24.5
24.8%
75.2%
4.03
26.5
13.8%
86.2%
7.22
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Le Havre (3.37 / 3.93 per match) and AS Monaco (4.43 / 4.63). Expected total: 8.18. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
70.8%
29.2%
1.41
7.5
57.2%
42.8%
1.75
8.5
43.3%
56.7%
2.31
9.5
30.6%
69.4%
3.27
10.5
20.2%
79.8%
4.94
11.5
12.5%
87.5%
7.98

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Le Havre
Win + BTTS
season
10%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
0%
Win to Nil
season
10%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
14.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
10%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
0%
Loss + BTTS
season
6.7%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
36.7%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
57.1%
Scored in Both Halves
season
23.3%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
14.3%
AS Monaco
Win + BTTS
season
26.7%
vs top
26.7%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Win to Nil
season
16.7%
vs top
20%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
—
Win + Over 2.5
season
30%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
—
Loss + BTTS
season
23.3%
vs top
20%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
—
Draw + Under 2.5
season
10%
vs top
6.7%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
—
Scored in Both Halves
season
23.3%
vs top
20%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
—
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Le Havre
3 matches unbeaten
3
AS Monaco
3 matches unbeaten
3
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Le Havre
50%
1W · 3D · 1L · draw rate 60%
AS Monaco
33.3%
1W · 2D · 2L · draw rate 40%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Le Havre vs AS Monaco
  • The Prime Number Effect! When AS Monaco play on prime datesGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    9/9Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When AS Monaco play on prime datesAS Monaco SCORE
    10/11Applies today
  • The Prime Number Effect! When AS Monaco play on prime datesBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    8/9Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Le Havre playTIGHT GAME (Under 2.5)
    9/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and AS Monaco playAS Monaco SCORE
    9/10Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Le Havre vs AS Monaco
Le Havre
  • Zagadou, Stephan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Soumare, Issa
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Kyeremeh, Godson
    0G
    0A
    0
AS Monaco
  • Balogun, Folarin
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Fati, Ansu
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Golovin, Aleksandr
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LHLe Havre
AMAS Monaco
Ligue 1Sun 23 Aug, 17:15
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 2.50 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
24 Jan 26Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco0–0—
16 Aug 25AS Monaco vs Le Havre AC3–1—
26 Apr 25Le Havre AC vs AS Monaco1–1—
22 Sept 24AS Monaco vs Le Havre AC3–1—
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