junibet
LorientvsAS Monaco
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
LorientvsAS Monaco
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

56%
Lorient BTTS
71%
AS Monaco BTTS
Last 10 matches

Lorient at 56%, AS Monaco at 71%. The H2H rate is 64% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 3.1 goals expected, line is 2.5

Lorient
1.5
AS Monaco
2.0

Lorient 1.5 g/m, AS Monaco 2.0. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 2.53.95Over 2.54.00
CORNERS

Lorient live in the opposition third — 7.6 corners/match between them

Lorient avg 3.4AS Monaco avg 4.2
3.4
4.2
total scale: 0 → 14

Combined 7.6/m vs the 6.5 line — only 1.1 over. The shape is right, the margin is thin.

Over 6.5 Corners
Alt:Over 6.53.10Over 6.53.65
MATCH RESULT

AS Monaco unbeaten in 5

WWWDW

Hard to break right now. AS Monaco to win at 2.12 respects the pattern without overpaying.

AS Monaco to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Under (Under)
Match
AS Monaco to win
Match
Full Time
Lorient to Win At Least One Half
AS Monaco to Win At Least One Half
AS Monaco to Win to Nil
Lorient to Win to Nil
AS Monaco to Win and Both Teams To Score
Goal in Both Halves
Both Teams To Score - 1st Half
Both Teams To Score - 2nd Half
Both Teams To Score
Lorient to Win and Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Under—
Total Goals by AS Monaco
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
Under—
Total Goals by Lorient
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
Under—
Double Chance
Double Chance - 1st Half
Double Chance - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 2nd Half
Draw No Bet - 1st Half
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals - 2nd Half
LineUnderOver
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by AS Monaco - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by Lorient - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Total Goals by AS Monaco - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
2.5
Total Goals by Lorient - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
3-Way Handicap - 1st Half
Line1X
Lorient
Lorient
Lorient
2nd Half
First Goal (Draw: No Goals)
Half Time
Total Corners
LineUnderOver
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
Total Corners - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
Total Corners by Lorient
LineOverUnder
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Total Corners By AS Monaco - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By AS Monaco - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners By Lorient - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
Total Corners By Lorient - 2nd Half
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Corners by AS Monaco
LineOverUnder
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
Corners 3-Way Handicap
Line1X
Lorient
Lorient
Lorient
Lorient
Lorient
Next Corner, No Corner No Bet (1)
Most Corners - 1st Half
Most Corners
Most Corners - 2nd Half
Total Shots on Target
LineOver2
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
Total Shots on Target by Lorient
LineOver2
2.5
3.5
4.5
Total Shots on Target by AS Monaco
LineOver2
3.5
4.5
5.5
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeLorient
AwayAS Monaco
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Lorient
vs Top tier
50%
3W·2D·1L (6)
vs Mid tier
27%
3W·3D·5L (11)
vs Bottom tier
40%
2W·2D·1L (5)
AS Monaco
vs Top tier
56%
5W·2D·2L (9)
vs Mid tier
50%
4W·2D·2L (8)
vs Bottom tier
83%
5W·1D·0L (6)

Momentum Meter

LorientAS Monaco
▼MOMENTUM▼
1.00PPG (LAST 5)2.60
22%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE21%

League Position

1AS Monaco13pts
2Olympique Lyon11pts
3Paris FC11pts
4Lille OSC10pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco5+513
2Olympique Lyon5+811
3Paris FC5+511
4Lille OSC5+410
5Stade Rennais FC5-110

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Lorient vs AS Monaco
Lorient84 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
57 matches analysed
AS Monaco108 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Lorient — expected: 1.41 goals
0
24.5%
1
34.5%
2
24.2%
3+
16.8%
AS Monaco — expected: 1.65 goals
0
19.2%
1
31.7%
2
26.1%
3+
23.0%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lorient (1.48 scored / 1.30 conceded per match) and AS Monaco (2.00 / 1.33). Expected total: 3.05.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
95.3%
4.7%
1.05
1.5
80.9%
19.1%
1.24
2.5
58.9%
41.1%
1.70
3.5
36.5%
63.5%
2.74
4.5
19.4%
80.6%
5.15
5.5
9.0%
91.0%
11.17
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Lorientseason 56.5%
vs Top tier
50%
(6)
vs Mid tier
45.5%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
80%
(5)
AS Monacoseason 70.8%
vs Top tier
77.8%
(9)
vs Mid tier
62.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
83.3%
(6)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Lorient
26.1%
AS Monaco
25%
Clean-sheet win rate: Lorient 21.7% · AS Monaco 20.8%

Scoring Patterns

LorientAS Monaco
35%SCORED FIRST46%
22%FAILED TO SCORE8%
56%LEADING AT HT79%
48%CONCEDED 2+33%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

AS Monaco1 - 3FC Lorient
FC Lorient3 - 1AS Monaco
AS Monaco2 - 2FC Lorient
FC Lorient2 - 2AS Monaco
AS Monaco3 - 1FC Lorient
FC Lorient2 - 2AS Monaco

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Lorientlead 35% · draw 43% · trail 22%
AS Monacolead 46% · draw 33% · trail 21%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Lorient's and AS Monaco's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
30.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
10.3%
Home / Away
1/2
10.3%
Draw / Home
X/1
16.8%
Draw / Draw
X/X
11.7%
Draw / Away
X/2
9.8%
Away / Home
2/1
9.5%
Away / Draw
2/X
9.5%
Away / Away
2/2
11.8%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Lorient
AS Monaco
Scored first %
34.8%
45.8%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
21.7%
8.3%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
LorientAS Monaco
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lorient (3.35 / 5.30 per match) and AS Monaco (4.21 / 4.58). Expected total: 8.72. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
64.2%
35.8%
1.56
8.5
50.7%
49.3%
1.97
9.5
37.6%
62.4%
2.66
10.5
26.1%
73.9%
3.83
11.5
17.1%
82.9%
5.86
12.5
10.5%
89.5%
9.54
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Lorient 4.0, AS Monaco 4.8. Difference: -0.8.
Lorient 45%55% AS Monaco

Cards & Discipline

LorientAS Monaco
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lorient (1.22 / 1.22 per match) and AS Monaco (2.00 / 2.00). Expected total: 3.22. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
62.4%
37.6%
1.60
3.5
40.2%
59.8%
2.49
4.5
22.3%
77.7%
4.49
5.5
10.8%
89.2%
9.29
6.5
4.6%
95.4%
21.81

Shots

Per-match rolling average
LorientAS Monaco
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lorient (8.95 / 10.05 per match) and AS Monaco (9.38 / 12.76). Expected total: 20.57. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
66.5%
33.5%
1.50
20.5
49.1%
50.9%
2.03
22.5
32.4%
67.6%
3.08
24.5
19.0%
81.0%
5.25
26.5
9.9%
90.1%
10.09
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Lorient (3.73 / 3.77 per match) and AS Monaco (4.19 / 4.95). Expected total: 8.32. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
72.4%
27.6%
1.38
7.5
59.1%
40.9%
1.69
8.5
45.2%
54.8%
2.21
9.5
32.4%
67.6%
3.09
10.5
21.7%
78.3%
4.61
11.5
13.6%
86.4%
7.33

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Lorient
Win + BTTS
season
13%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
20%
Win to Nil
season
21.7%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
20%
Win + Over 2.5
season
17.4%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
40%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.4%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
20%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13%
vs top
16.7%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
39.1%
vs top
66.7%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
40%
AS Monaco
Win + BTTS
season
41.7%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
66.7%
Win to Nil
season
20.8%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win + Over 2.5
season
41.7%
vs top
44.4%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
66.7%
Loss + BTTS
season
12.5%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
8.3%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
33.3%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
33.3%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Lorient
1 match unbeaten
1
AS Monaco
5 matches unbeaten
5
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Lorient
33.3%
1W · 2D · 2L · draw rate 40%
AS Monaco
100%
4W · 1D · 0L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Lorient vs AS Monaco
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Lorient playLorient SCORE
    14/16Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and AS Monaco playAS Monaco SCORE
    14/16Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and AS Monaco playAS Monaco SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and AS Monaco playAS Monaco SCORE
    10/11Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and AS Monaco playAS Monaco SCORE
    12/14Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

MATCH INSIGHT

Lorient vs AS Monaco
  • Total goals
    Lorient1.48 goals/match
    AS Monaco2.00 goals/match
  • Both teams to score
    Lorient56%
    AS Monaco71%

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.32 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.95 poäng/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF1.86 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.36 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.23 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.14 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF0.91 insläppta/match
  2. #2GAIS0.91 insläppta/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF0.95 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1Hammarby IF+29
  2. #2Djurgardens IF+26
  3. #3IK Sirius+24
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Lorient vs AS Monaco
Lorient
  • Katseris, Panos
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Dieng, Bamba
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Jensen, Isak
    0G
    0A
    0
AS Monaco
  • Brunner, Paris
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Fati, Ansu
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Balogun, Folarin
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    16
  2. 2
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    15
  3. 3
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    14
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    13
  5. 5
    Lindgren, GustavHAC
    12
  6. 6
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  7. 7
    Lind, VictorHIF
    9
  8. 8
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    9
  9. 9
    Christofferson, NoahORG
    8
  10. 10
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    14
  2. 2
    Lind, VictorHIF
    13
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    8
  4. 4
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    7
  5. 5
    Sana, TobiasORG
    6
  6. 6
    Berg, OliverBRO
    6
  7. 7
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    6
  8. 8
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    5
  9. 9
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  10. 10
    Lindberg, JuliusHAC
    5
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
LLorient
AMAS Monaco
Ligue 1Sun 18 Oct, 17:15
Round
Ligue 1 matchweek
7
VenueStade Yves Allainmat-Le MoustoirLorient · France · 18,110
Historical H2H (10 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.60 · BTTS: 80% · Over 2.5: 80% · Clean sheet either side: 20%
DateMatchScoreComp.
16 Jan 26AS Monaco vs FC Lorient1–3—
27 Sept 25FC Lorient vs AS Monaco3–1—
17 Mar 24AS Monaco vs FC Lorient2–2—
17 Sept 23FC Lorient vs AS Monaco2–2—
16 Apr 23AS Monaco vs FC Lorient3–1—
11 Jan 23FC Lorient vs AS Monaco2–2—
13 Feb 22AS Monaco vs FC Lorient0–0—
13 Aug 21FC Lorient vs AS Monaco1–0—
14 Feb 21AS Monaco vs FC Lorient2–2—
06 Jan 21FC Lorient vs AS Monaco2–5—
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