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AtalantavsSassuolo
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
AtalantavsSassuolo
BTTS

Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10

55%
Atalanta BTTS
57%
Sassuolo BTTS
Last 10 matches

Atalanta at 55%, Sassuolo at 57%. The H2H rate is 56% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.7 goals expected, line is 2.5

Atalanta
1.5
Sassuolo
1.3

Atalanta 1.5 g/m, Sassuolo 1.3. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.45Over 1.51.55
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Atalanta to win
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Atalanta
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Sassuolo
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeAtalanta
AwaySassuolo
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Atalanta
vs Top tier
36%
4W·3D·4L (11)
vs Mid tier
33%
3W·2D·4L (9)
vs Bottom tier
50%
3W·2D·1L (6)
Sassuolo
vs Top tier
27%
3W·3D·5L (11)
vs Mid tier
40%
4W·0D·6L (10)
vs Bottom tier
44%
4W·3D·2L (9)

Momentum Meter

AtalantaSassuolo
▼MOMENTUM▼
1.00PPG (LAST 5)0.80
24%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE13%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Atalanta98 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
65 matches analysed
Sassuolo66 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
54 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Atalanta — expected: 1.45 goals
0
23.6%
1
34.1%
2
24.6%
3+
17.7%
Sassuolo — expected: 1.27 goals
0
27.9%
1
35.6%
2
22.7%
3+
13.7%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (1.52 scored / 1.28 conceded per match) and Sassuolo (1.27 / 1.37). Expected total: 2.72.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
93.4%
6.6%
1.07
1.5
75.5%
24.5%
1.32
2.5
51.1%
48.9%
1.96
3.5
29.0%
71.0%
3.44
4.5
14.0%
86.0%
7.14
5.5
5.8%
94.2%
17.14
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Atalantaseason 55.2%
vs Top tier
63.6%
(11)
vs Mid tier
33.3%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
66.7%
(6)
Sassuoloseason 56.7%
vs Top tier
45.5%
(11)
vs Mid tier
50%
(10)
vs Bottom tier
77.8%
(9)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Atalanta
31%
Sassuolo
16.7%
Clean-sheet win rate: Atalanta 24.1% · Sassuolo 13.3%

Scoring Patterns

AtalantaSassuolo
38%SCORED FIRST27%
21%FAILED TO SCORE30%
52%LEADING AT HT40%
31%CONCEDED 2+37%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Sassuolo Calcio2 - 1Atalanta BC
Atalanta BC0 - 3Sassuolo Calcio
Atalanta BC3 - 1Sassuolo Calcio

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Atalantalead 38% · draw 34% · trail 28%
Sassuololead 27% · draw 37% · trail 37%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Atalanta's and Sassuolo's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
22.9%
Home / Draw
1/X
9.4%
Home / Away
1/2
9.4%
Draw / Home
X/1
11.4%
Draw / Draw
X/X
13.9%
Draw / Away
X/2
10.2%
Away / Home
2/1
10.1%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.1%
Away / Away
2/2
22.0%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Scored first %
37.9%
26.7%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
20.7%
30%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
AtalantaSassuolo
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (4.97 / 3.97 per match) and Sassuolo (3.97 / 4.80). Expected total: 8.86. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
65.9%
34.1%
1.52
8.5
52.5%
47.5%
1.90
9.5
39.3%
60.7%
2.54
10.5
27.7%
72.3%
3.61
11.5
18.3%
81.7%
5.46
12.5
11.4%
88.6%
8.78
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Atalanta 4.9, Sassuolo 4.0. Difference: +0.9.
Atalanta 55%45% Sassuolo

Cards & Discipline

AtalantaSassuolo
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (1.69 / 1.69 per match) and Sassuolo (2.23 / 2.23). Expected total: 3.92. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
75.0%
25.0%
1.33
3.5
55.1%
44.9%
1.82
4.5
35.6%
64.4%
2.81
5.5
20.2%
79.8%
4.94
6.5
10.3%
89.7%
9.76

Shots

Per-match rolling average
AtalantaSassuolo
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (12.38 / 11.86 per match) and Sassuolo (10.37 / 13.17). Expected total: 23.89. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
86.7%
13.3%
1.15
20.5
75.0%
25.0%
1.33
22.5
60.0%
40.0%
1.67
24.5
43.7%
56.3%
2.29
26.5
28.8%
71.2%
3.47
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Atalanta (4.69 / 4.34 per match) and Sassuolo (3.93 / 4.67). Expected total: 8.81. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
77.6%
22.4%
1.29
7.5
65.4%
34.6%
1.53
8.5
52.0%
48.0%
1.92
9.5
38.8%
61.2%
2.58
10.5
27.2%
72.8%
3.67
11.5
17.9%
82.1%
5.57

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Atalanta
Win + BTTS
season
13.8%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
16.7%
Win to Nil
season
24.1%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
16.7%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Scored in Both Halves
season
31%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
44.4%
vs bottom
16.7%
Sassuolo
Win + BTTS
season
23.3%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win to Nil
season
13.3%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
20%
vs bottom
11.1%
Win + Over 2.5
season
30%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
30%
vs bottom
44.4%
Loss + BTTS
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
30%
vs bottom
22.2%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
13.3%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
22.2%
Scored in Both Halves
season
30%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
10%
vs bottom
55.6%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Atalanta
lost last match
0
Sassuolo
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Atalanta
33.3%
1W · 2D · 2L · draw rate 40%
Sassuolo
25%
1W · 1D · 3L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Atalanta vs Sassuolo
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Sassuolo playHOME WIN
    8/8Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Sassuolo playSassuolo SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Atalanta playAtalanta SCORE
    12/14Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Sassuolo playBOTH TEAMS SCORE
    8/10Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Sassuolo playSassuolo SCORE
    8/10Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Atalanta
  • Pasalic, Mario
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Scamacca, Gianluca
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Krstovic, Nikola
    0G
    0A
    0
Sassuolo
  • Berardi, Domenico
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Lauriente, Armand
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Pinamonti, Andrea
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
AAtalanta
SSassuolo
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (3 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.33 · BTTS: 67% · Over 2.5: 100% · Clean sheet either side: 33%
DateMatchScoreComp.
01 Mar 26Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC2–1—
09 Nov 25Atalanta BC vs Sassuolo Calcio0–3—
03 Jan 24Atalanta BC vs Sassuolo Calcio3–1—
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