junibet
UdinesevsComo
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
UdinesevsComo
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.5 goals expected, line is 1.5

Udinese
1.1
Como
1.9

Udinese averaging 1.1, Como 1.9. The number sits clean above 1.5.

Over 1.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.53.15Over 0.51.57
BTTS

Udinese clean sheets 33% of the time

33%
Udinese CS
50%
Como CS
Clean-sheet rate · last 10

Como keep one in 2. The lockdown read isn't fanciful at this price.

Both teams to score · No
MATCH RESULT

Como on a 3-match win streak

WDWWW

Real momentum — they've won 3 on the bounce. Como to win at 1.74 pays for the trend.

Como to win
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Como to win
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Como
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Udinese
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeUdinese
AwayComo
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Udinese
vs Top tier
27%
3W·2D·6L (11)
vs Mid tier
44%
4W·2D·3L (9)
vs Bottom tier
44%
4W·1D·4L (9)
Como
vs Top tier
25%
2W·3D·3L (8)
vs Mid tier
63%
5W·2D·1L (8)
vs Bottom tier
88%
7W·0D·1L (8)

Momentum Meter

UdineseComo
▼MOMENTUM▲
1.40PPG (LAST 5)2.60
30%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE36%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Udinese vs Como
Udinese67 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
56 matches analysed
Como110 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
58 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Udinese — expected: 0.97 goals
0
37.7%
1
36.8%
2
17.9%
3+
7.6%
Como — expected: 1.52 goals
0
22.0%
1
33.3%
2
25.2%
3+
19.5%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Udinese (1.13 scored / 1.17 conceded per match) and Como (1.86 / 0.82). Expected total: 2.49.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
91.7%
8.3%
1.09
1.5
71.1%
28.9%
1.41
2.5
45.4%
54.6%
2.20
3.5
24.0%
76.0%
4.16
4.5
10.7%
89.3%
9.30
5.5
4.1%
95.9%
24.18
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Udineseseason 33.3%
vs Top tier
9.1%
(11)
vs Mid tier
44.4%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
55.6%
(9)
Comoseason 46.4%
vs Top tier
50%
(8)
vs Mid tier
37.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
37.5%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Udinese
33.3%
Como
50%
Clean-sheet win rate: Udinese 30% · Como 35.7%

Scoring Patterns

UdineseComo
30%SCORED FIRST50%
37%FAILED TO SCORE18%
50%LEADING AT HT68%
33%CONCEDED 2+18%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Udinese Calcio0 - 0Como 1907
Como 19071 - 0Udinese Calcio
Como 19074 - 1Udinese Calcio
Udinese Calcio1 - 0Como 1907

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Udineselead 30% · draw 40% · trail 30%
Comolead 50% · draw 39% · trail 11%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Udinese's and Como's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
29.1%
Home / Draw
1/X
10.9%
Home / Away
1/2
10.9%
Draw / Home
X/1
15.1%
Draw / Draw
X/X
13.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
11.5%
Away / Home
2/1
7.3%
Away / Draw
2/X
7.3%
Away / Away
2/2
13.1%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Udinese
Como
Scored first %
30%
50%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
36.7%
17.9%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
UdineseComo
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Udinese (4.43 / 4.63 per match) and Como (4.93 / 3.07). Expected total: 8.53. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
61.8%
38.2%
1.62
8.5
48.1%
51.9%
2.08
9.5
35.1%
64.9%
2.85
10.5
24.0%
76.0%
4.17
11.5
15.4%
84.6%
6.50
12.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.78
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Udinese 3.8, Como 4.8. Difference: -1.0.
Udinese 44%56% Como

Cards & Discipline

UdineseComo
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Udinese (1.73 / 1.73 per match) and Como (2.04 / 2.04). Expected total: 3.77. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
72.6%
27.4%
1.38
3.5
52.0%
48.0%
1.92
4.5
32.6%
67.4%
3.06
5.5
18.0%
82.0%
5.55
6.5
8.8%
91.2%
11.35

Shots

Per-match rolling average
UdineseComo
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Udinese (10.63 / 12.07 per match) and Como (13.29 / 7.36). Expected total: 21.68. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
74.6%
25.4%
1.34
20.5
58.6%
41.4%
1.71
22.5
41.6%
58.4%
2.40
24.5
26.5%
73.5%
3.78
26.5
15.0%
85.0%
6.66
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Udinese (3.80 / 3.57 per match) and Como (4.89 / 2.57). Expected total: 7.41. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
61.0%
39.0%
1.64
7.5
46.3%
53.7%
2.16
8.5
32.6%
67.4%
3.06
9.5
21.4%
78.6%
4.67
10.5
13.1%
86.9%
7.66
11.5
7.4%
92.6%
13.45

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Udinese
Win + BTTS
season
6.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
11.1%
Win to Nil
season
30%
vs top
27.3%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
33.3%
Win + Over 2.5
season
13.3%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
22.2%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
33.3%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
6.7%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
23.3%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
33.3%
Como
Win + BTTS
season
17.9%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
25%
Win to Nil
season
35.7%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
50%
vs bottom
62.5%
Win + Over 2.5
season
35.7%
vs top
12.5%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
75%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.9%
vs top
25%
vs mid
12.5%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
25%
vs top
37.5%
vs mid
25%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
39.3%
vs top
25%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
50%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Udinese
3 matches unbeaten
3
Como
5 matches unbeaten
5
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Udinese
50%
2W · 1D · 2L · draw rate 20%
Como
100%
4W · 1D · 0L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Udinese vs Como
  • FTSE at a 30-day high! When the FTSE 100 prints a fresh monthly high and Como playComo SCORE
    8/8Applies today
  • Waxing Moon Effect! When the moon grows and Como playComo SCORE
    9/9Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Como playComo SCORE
    12/14Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Como playComo SCORE
    13/15Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Paz, Nico playPaz, Nico FINDS THE NET
    4/6Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Udinese vs Como
Udinese
  • Arizala, Juan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Davis, Keinan
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Ekkelenkamp, Jurgen
    0G
    0A
    0
Como
  • Douvikas, Anastasios
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Baturina, Martin
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Paz, Nico
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
UUdinese
CComo
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 1.75 · BTTS: 25% · Over 2.5: 25% · Clean sheet either side: 75%
DateMatchScoreComp.
06 Apr 26Udinese Calcio vs Como 19070–0—
03 Jan 26Como 1907 vs Udinese Calcio1–0—
20 Jan 25Como 1907 vs Udinese Calcio4–1—
01 Sept 24Udinese Calcio vs Como 19071–0—
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