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TorinovsAC Milan
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
TorinovsAC Milan
BTTS

Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10

57%
Torino BTTS
46%
AC Milan BTTS
Last 10 matches

Torino at 57%, AC Milan at 46%. The H2H rate is 51% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.7 goals expected, line is 2.5

Torino
1.3
AC Milan
1.3

Torino 1.3 g/m, AC Milan 1.3. Edge is mild — line and model are close.

Over 2.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.51.83Over 1.52.75
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
AC Milan to win
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by AC Milan
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals by Torino
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeTorino
AwayAC Milan
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Torino
vs Top tier
0%
0W·3D·6L (9)
vs Mid tier
45%
5W·0D·6L (11)
vs Bottom tier
50%
4W·2D·2L (8)
AC Milan
vs Top tier
29%
2W·3D·2L (7)
vs Mid tier
45%
5W·1D·5L (11)
vs Bottom tier
71%
5W·2D·0L (7)

Momentum Meter

TorinoAC Milan
▼MOMENTUM▲
1.00PPG (LAST 5)0.80
20%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE27%

League Position

4Como 190771pts
5AC Milan70pts
6Juventus Turin69pts
7Atalanta BC59pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Torino vs AC Milan
Torino77 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
59 matches analysed
AC Milan70 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
53 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Torino — expected: 1.18 goals
0
30.9%
1
36.3%
2
21.3%
3+
11.5%
AC Milan — expected: 1.50 goals
0
22.2%
1
33.4%
2
25.1%
3+
19.2%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Torino (1.27 scored / 1.70 conceded per match) and AC Milan (1.31 / 1.08). Expected total: 2.68.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
93.1%
6.9%
1.07
1.5
74.8%
25.2%
1.34
2.5
50.1%
49.9%
1.99
3.5
28.2%
71.8%
3.55
4.5
13.4%
86.6%
7.46
5.5
5.5%
94.5%
18.14
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Torinoseason 56.7%
vs Top tier
55.6%
(9)
vs Mid tier
54.5%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(8)
AC Milanseason 46.2%
vs Top tier
57.1%
(7)
vs Mid tier
45.5%
(11)
vs Bottom tier
42.9%
(7)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Torino
26.7%
AC Milan
30.8%
Clean-sheet win rate: Torino 20% · AC Milan 26.9%

Scoring Patterns

TorinoAC Milan
23%SCORED FIRST19%
23%FAILED TO SCORE27%
50%LEADING AT HT58%
63%CONCEDED 2+31%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

AC Milan3 - 2Torino
Torino2 - 3AC Milan
Torino2 - 1AC Milan
AC Milan2 - 2Torino

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Torinolead 23% · draw 40% · trail 37%
AC Milanlead 19% · draw 50% · trail 31%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Torino's and AC Milan's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
14.4%
Home / Draw
1/X
6.9%
Home / Away
1/2
6.9%
Draw / Home
X/1
18.2%
Draw / Draw
X/X
13.0%
Draw / Away
X/2
13.8%
Away / Home
2/1
13.2%
Away / Draw
2/X
13.2%
Away / Away
2/2
20.5%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Torino
AC Milan
Scored first %
23.3%
19.2%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
23.3%
26.9%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
TorinoAC Milan
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Torino (3.60 / 4.63 per match) and AC Milan (4.50 / 4.04). Expected total: 8.38. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
59.9%
40.1%
1.67
8.5
46.1%
53.9%
2.17
9.5
33.2%
66.8%
3.01
10.5
22.4%
77.6%
4.46
11.5
14.2%
85.8%
7.06
12.5
8.4%
91.6%
11.89
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Torino 3.8, AC Milan 4.6. Difference: -0.7.
Torino 46%54% AC Milan

Cards & Discipline

TorinoAC Milan
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Torino (1.87 / 1.87 per match) and AC Milan (1.77 / 1.77). Expected total: 3.64. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
70.4%
29.6%
1.42
3.5
49.3%
50.7%
2.03
4.5
30.1%
69.9%
3.32
5.5
16.1%
83.9%
6.19
6.5
7.7%
92.3%
13.05

Shots

Per-match rolling average
TorinoAC Milan
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Torino (10.53 / 12.30 per match) and AC Milan (11.42 / 10.50). Expected total: 22.38. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
79.1%
20.9%
1.27
20.5
64.3%
35.7%
1.56
22.5
47.5%
52.5%
2.10
24.5
31.7%
68.3%
3.16
26.5
18.9%
81.1%
5.29
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Torino (3.97 / 4.57 per match) and AC Milan (3.81 / 3.85). Expected total: 8.10. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
69.9%
30.1%
1.43
7.5
56.1%
43.9%
1.78
8.5
42.1%
57.9%
2.37
9.5
29.6%
70.4%
3.38
10.5
19.4%
80.6%
5.15
11.5
11.9%
88.1%
8.38

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Torino
Win + BTTS
season
13.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
12.5%
Win to Nil
season
20%
vs top
0%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
37.5%
Win + Over 2.5
season
16.7%
vs top
0%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
33.3%
vs top
33.3%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
25%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
6.7%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
12.5%
Scored in Both Halves
season
23.3%
vs top
11.1%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
37.5%
AC Milan
Win + BTTS
season
19.2%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
27.3%
vs bottom
14.3%
Win to Nil
season
26.9%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
18.2%
vs bottom
57.1%
Win + Over 2.5
season
26.9%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
28.6%
Loss + BTTS
season
7.7%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
9.1%
vs bottom
0%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
19.2%
vs top
42.9%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
28.6%
Scored in Both Halves
season
26.9%
vs top
14.3%
vs mid
36.4%
vs bottom
28.6%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Torino
1 match unbeaten
1
AC Milan
1 match unbeaten
1
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Torino
33.3%
1W · 2D · 2L · draw rate 40%
AC Milan
25%
1W · 1D · 3L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Torino vs AC Milan
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Torino playTorino SCORE
    9/10Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Vlasic, Nikola playVlasic, Nikola GOAL OR ASSIST
    7/10Applies today
  • Coffee on the rise! When coffee futures close higher and Torino playGOAL FEST (Over 2.5)
    12/14Applies today
  • OJ futures pop! When orange-juice futures close higher and Torino playTorino SCORE
    13/16Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Torino playTorino SCORE
    12/15Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Torino vs AC Milan
Torino
  • Adams, Che
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Casadei, Cesare
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Zapata, Duvan
    0G
    0A
    0
AC Milan
  • Nkunku, Christopher
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Pulisic, Christian
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Fofana, Youssouf
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
TTorino
AMAC Milan
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 4.25 · BTTS: 100% · Over 2.5: 100% · Clean sheet either side: 0%
DateMatchScoreComp.
21 Mar 26AC Milan vs Torino FC3–2—
08 Dec 25Torino FC vs AC Milan2–3—
22 Feb 25Torino FC vs AC Milan2–1—
17 Aug 24AC Milan vs Torino FC2–2—
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