junibet
ParmavsCagliari
Match
★ THE AI READEvery signal we found, grouped.
ParmavsCagliari
GOALS

Both attacks fire — 2.3 goals expected, line is 1.5

Parma
0.8
Cagliari
1.1

Parma averaging 0.8, Cagliari 1.1. The number sits clean above 1.5.

Over 1.5 Goals
Alt:Over 1.52.70Over 2.52.25
BTTS

Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10

41%
Parma BTTS
52%
Cagliari BTTS
Last 10 matches

Parma at 41%, Cagliari at 52%. The H2H rate is 47% — the model copies it.

Both teams to score
★ ALL MARKETSCompare every line.
★ POPULAR VALUE BETSWhere the crowd is putting their money — value picks only (1.50–5.00).
Parma to win
Match
Draw
Match
Full Time
Both Teams To Score
Total Goals
LineOverUnder
1.5
2.5
3.5
Total Goals by Cagliari
LineOverUnder
0.5
Total Goals by Parma
LineOverUnder
1.5
Total Goals Odd/Even
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Total Goals - 1st Half
LineOverUnder
0.5
1.5
Half Time
★ DEEP STATSForm, history, edge.

Form & Hierarchy

FORM

Last 5 matches
HomeParma
AwayCagliari
Win Rate vs Table Tier
Each team's win % against opponents in the top, middle, and bottom thirds of the table this season.
Parma
vs Top tier
10%
1W·3D·6L (10)
vs Mid tier
38%
3W·3D·2L (8)
vs Bottom tier
60%
6W·2D·2L (10)
Cagliari
vs Top tier
36%
4W·1D·6L (11)
vs Mid tier
22%
2W·4D·3L (9)
vs Bottom tier
38%
3W·2D·3L (8)

Momentum Meter

ParmaCagliari
▲MOMENTUM▲
1.20PPG (LAST 5)2.00
24%CLEAN-SHEET WIN RATE14%

League Position

1Inter Milano87pts
2SSC Napoli76pts
3AS Roma73pts
4Como 190771pts

League table

#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milano38+5487
2SSC Napoli38+2276
3AS Roma38+2873
4Como 190738+3671
5AC Milan38+1870

Goals & BTTS

GOAL PROFILE

Parma vs Cagliari
Parma45 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
56 matches analysed
Cagliari61 goals
1st half0%
2nd half0%
54 matches analysed
Team Goals Distribution (model)
Probability of each team scoring 0, 1, 2, or 3+ goals — anchor for Team Total Goals markets.
Parma — expected: 1.10 goals
0
33.1%
1
36.6%
2
20.2%
3+
10.1%
Cagliari — expected: 1.17 goals
0
31.0%
1
36.3%
2
21.2%
3+
11.4%
Total Goals — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Parma (0.83 scored / 1.24 conceded per match) and Cagliari (1.10 / 1.38). Expected total: 2.27.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
0.5
89.7%
10.3%
1.11
1.5
66.3%
33.7%
1.51
2.5
39.7%
60.3%
2.52
3.5
19.6%
80.4%
5.11
4.5
8.1%
91.9%
12.37
5.5
2.9%
97.1%
34.90
Compare the fair-odds column against the bookmaker's Over price — significant gaps either way are value flags. Model assumes Poisson-distributed goals and average attack/defence; doesn't yet adjust for home advantage or vs-tier opponent strength (planned, see VS Engine extension spec).
BTTS Rate vs Table Tier
Both teams' BTTS rate broken down by opponent's league position. Spot the gap between season-overall and tier-specific rates.
Parmaseason 41.4%
vs Top tier
40%
(10)
vs Mid tier
37.5%
(8)
vs Bottom tier
40%
(10)
Cagliariseason 51.7%
vs Top tier
36.4%
(11)
vs Mid tier
66.7%
(9)
vs Bottom tier
50%
(8)
Clean Sheet Rate
% of matches with no goals conceded — opponent's path to BTTS No or Win-to-Nil
Parma
34.5%
Cagliari
24.1%
Clean-sheet win rate: Parma 24.1% · Cagliari 13.8%

Scoring Patterns

ParmaCagliari
14%SCORED FIRST14%
35%FAILED TO SCORE35%
45%LEADING AT HT45%
35%CONCEDED 2+48%

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Parma Calcio1 - 1Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio2 - 0Parma Calcio
Cagliari Calcio2 - 1Parma Calcio
Parma Calcio2 - 3Cagliari Calcio

0 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins

Half-Time Behaviour

Half-Time Lead Rate
How often each team is leading / drawing / trailing at HT
Parmalead 14% · draw 59% · trail 28%
Cagliarilead 14% · draw 52% · trail 34%
HT/FT Combinations (model)
Joint half-time × full-time rates blended from Parma's and Cagliari's half-by-half records. Heatmap intensity = relative likelihood.
Home / Home
1/1
9.0%
Home / Draw
1/X
4.8%
Home / Away
1/2
4.8%
Draw / Home
X/1
18.0%
Draw / Draw
X/X
17.9%
Draw / Away
X/2
19.3%
Away / Home
2/1
10.2%
Away / Draw
2/X
10.2%
Away / Away
2/2
20.8%
Independence assumption between halves is an approximation — true joint frequencies require per-match HT+FT pairs (VS Engine extension planned). Use for relative comparison rather than absolute probability.
First-Half Tendency
How each team starts matches — anchor for 1H markets, HT/FT, Half-Time Result.
Stat
Parma
Cagliari
Scored first %
13.8%
13.8%
Conceded first %
—
—
Failed to score %
34.5%
34.5%

Set Pieces & Discipline

Corners

Per-match rolling average
ParmaCagliari
0CORNERS FOR0
0CORNERS AGAINST0
0NET DIFF0
Total Corners — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Parma (4.07 / 5.28 per match) and Cagliari (3.97 / 4.93). Expected total: 9.13. Compare the fair-odds column against the bookie's Over price for value.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
7.5
69.1%
30.9%
1.45
8.5
56.1%
43.9%
1.78
9.5
42.9%
57.1%
2.33
10.5
30.9%
69.1%
3.24
11.5
20.9%
79.1%
4.78
12.5
13.4%
86.6%
7.49
Corner Dominance
Expected corners: Parma 4.5, Cagliari 4.6. Difference: -0.1.
Parma 49%51% Cagliari

Cards & Discipline

ParmaCagliari
0YELLOW / MATCH0
0RED / MATCH0
0TOTAL / MATCH0
Total Cards — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Parma (1.66 / 1.66 per match) and Cagliari (2.03 / 2.03). Expected total: 3.69. Note: card markets are heavily referee-driven — combine with Referee Effect.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
2.5
71.3%
28.7%
1.40
3.5
50.4%
49.6%
1.99
4.5
31.1%
68.9%
3.22
5.5
16.8%
83.2%
5.94
6.5
8.1%
91.9%
12.36

Shots

Per-match rolling average
ParmaCagliari
0SHOTS / MATCH0
0ON TARGET0
0CONCEDED0
0ON TARGET CONC.0
Total Shots — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Parma (9.93 / 12.76 per match) and Cagliari (10.17 / 11.72). Expected total: 22.29. Total shots includes off-target attempts.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
18.5
78.5%
21.5%
1.27
20.5
63.6%
36.4%
1.57
22.5
46.8%
53.2%
2.14
24.5
31.0%
69.0%
3.22
26.5
18.4%
81.6%
5.43
Total SoT — Line Hit Rate (model)
Poisson estimate from Parma (3.00 / 4.17 per match) and Cagliari (3.52 / 4.76). Expected total: 7.72. Shots on target only — typically half the total shot count.
Line
P(Over)
Over %
Under %
Fair odds
6.5
65.2%
34.8%
1.53
7.5
50.8%
49.2%
1.97
8.5
36.9%
63.1%
2.71
9.5
25.0%
75.0%
4.00
10.5
15.8%
84.2%
6.34
11.5
9.3%
90.7%
10.74

Combos & Specials

Combo Bet Hit Rate
How often each team has hit common combo bets (Win+BTTS, Win-to-Nil, Win+Over 2.5) — overall and against specific tiers. Cells suppressed when sample < 5 matches.
Parma
Win + BTTS
season
10.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
30%
Win to Nil
season
24.1%
vs top
10%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
30%
Win + Over 2.5
season
10.3%
vs top
0%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
30%
Loss + BTTS
season
13.8%
vs top
20%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
10%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
24.1%
vs top
20%
vs mid
37.5%
vs bottom
20%
Scored in Both Halves
season
10.3%
vs top
10%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
20%
Cagliari
Win + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
12.5%
Win to Nil
season
13.8%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
0%
vs bottom
25%
Win + Over 2.5
season
20.7%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
25%
Loss + BTTS
season
17.2%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
22.2%
vs bottom
12.5%
Draw + Under 2.5
season
17.2%
vs top
9.1%
vs mid
33.3%
vs bottom
0%
Scored in Both Halves
season
20.7%
vs top
18.2%
vs mid
11.1%
vs bottom
37.5%
Unbeaten Run
Consecutive matches without losing — the safer side of Double Chance / DNB
Parma
1 match unbeaten
1
Cagliari
2 matches unbeaten
2
Win % Excluding Draws
How often each team wins when the match doesn't end in a draw — DNB anchor
Parma
40%
2W · 0D · 3L · draw rate 0%
Cagliari
75%
3W · 1D · 1L · draw rate 20%

HIDDEN PATTERNS

Parma vs Cagliari
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Parma playTIGHT GAME (Under 2.5)
    8/8Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Cagliari playCagliari SCORE
    9/10Applies today
  • Fire signs ignite! When the sun is in Aries/Leo/Sagittarius and Esposito, Sebastiano playEsposito, Sebastiano GOAL OR ASSIST
    7/10Applies today
  • The Cocoa Effect! When cocoa futures close higher and Parma playSHUT-OUT ALERT
    7/8Applies today
  • Sugar rush on matchday! When sugar futures close higher and Cagliari playTIGHT GAME (Under 2.5)
    7/8Applies today

Match Insights

Betting Trends
No betting data available for this market yet.

League bests

BEST OVERALL
  1. #1IK Sirius2.67 poäng/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.77 poäng/match
  3. #3BK Hacken1.67 poäng/match
BEST ATTACK
  1. #1IK Sirius2.75 mål/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF2.15 mål/match
  3. #3Djurgardens IF2.09 mål/match
BEST DEFENCE
  1. #1GAIS0.92 insläppta/match
  2. #2Hammarby IF1.08 insläppta/match
  3. #3IF Elfsborg1.08 insläppta/match
BEST FORM
  1. #1IK Sirius80% vinster senaste 5
  2. #2Malmo FF60% vinster senaste 5
  3. #3IF Elfsborg60% vinster senaste 5
BEST GOAL DIFFERENCE
  1. #1IK Sirius+18
  2. #2Hammarby IF+14
  3. #3Djurgardens IF+8
★ PLAYERSWho decides this match.

PLAYER PROFILE

Parma vs Cagliari
Parma
  • Benedyczak, Adrian
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Pellegrino, Mateo
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Bernabe, Adrian
    0G
    0A
    0
Cagliari
  • Mazzitelli, Luca
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Esposito, Sebastiano
    0G
    0A
    0
  • Idrissi, Riyad
    0G
    0A
    0

TOP SCORERS

  1. 1
    Ure, RobbieSIR
    12
  2. 2
    Botheim, ErikMAL
    10
  3. 3
    Bjerkebo, IsakSIR
    10
  4. 4
    Ladefoged, MikkelVAS
    9
  5. 5
    Lien, Kristian StromlandDJU
    7
  6. 6
    Abraham, PaulosHIF
    7
  7. 7
    Heintz, TobiasIFK
    6
  8. 8
    Besara, NahirHIF
    5
  9. 9
    Lind, VictorHIF
    5
  10. 10
    Bergstrom, JacobMJA
    5

Top Assists

  1. 1
    Hegland, Bo AsulvDJU
    8
  2. 2
    Berg, OliverBRO
    5
  3. 3
    Haksabanovic, SeadMAL
    5
  4. 4
    Krusnell, OscarSIR
    5
  5. 5
    Hansen, MadsBRO
    5
  6. 6
    Sana, TobiasORG
    4
  7. 7
    Besara, NahirHIF
    4
  8. 8
    Layouni, AmorHAC
    4
  9. 9
    Lushaku, IsmetVAS
    4
  10. 10
    Milovanovic, WilliamGAIS
    4
★ MATCH INFOVenue, ref, weather.
PParma
CCagliari
Serie ASat 22 Aug, 15:00
Historical H2H (4 meetings)
Avg goals: 3.00 · BTTS: 75% · Over 2.5: 50% · Clean sheet either side: 25%
DateMatchScoreComp.
27 Feb 26Parma Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio1–1—
13 Sept 25Cagliari Calcio vs Parma Calcio2–0—
09 Feb 25Cagliari Calcio vs Parma Calcio2–1—
30 Sept 24Parma Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio2–3—
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